Things got back to normal in Week 4.
After starting at a blistering pace, reality sank in. My prognostications last week looked about as bad as Nostradamus. I finished with a disappointing 4-3 record. My 84 percent rate of picking games correctly dropped dramatically to 79 percent.
But this is a week to make up for that.
The week begins tonight with Siegel hosting Beech on a game that will be aired on television (WUXP-30). The Stars have won back-to-back games and offensively have looked good this season.
But Beech presents a major problem in its running attack. Dorian Carter has already rushed for more than 1,000 yards. And the Stars have struggled stopping the run. Carter will give Siegel a big test up front.
However, it’s hard to pick against the Stars right now after picking them incorrectly to lose the past two weeks.
Kreager’s pick: Siegel 49, Beech 34
Independence at Blackman
There will be five athletes with FBS college football offers on the football field at The Inferno on Friday night. Independence has three of those athletes in Tennessee commitments Vic Wharton and RaShaan Gaulden along with Missouri commitment Finis Stribling.
The Blaze have the remaining in junior Jauan Jennings and senior Antonio Allen. Both Jennings and Allen have college offers. Neither have yet committed.
Independence enters the game having lost back-to-back contests. Blackman is unbeaten, but hasn’t been tested since Week 1.
Kreager’s pick: Blackman 35, Independence 14
Brentwood at Oakland
Brentwood is on its third coach in three years in former Antioch coach Mike Woodward.
The Bruins took a little time to figure out exactly what Woodward wants out of his team, but they have won two straight.
It’s a trap game for Oakland, which is off next week. That shouldn’t matter the way Fred Wade and Darryle Hood Jr. have ran the ball this season.
Kreager’s pick: Oakland 38, Brentwood 18
Summit at Stewarts Creek
This could be the most competitive game of the night. Honest.
The Red Hawks have their best chance to win Friday at home against third-year Summit, which is just 1-4 this season.
Stewarts Creek showed it was on the cusp of its first win two weeks ago against Gallatin before giving up a second-half lead to the Green Wave.
The Red Hawks have learned their lesson.
Kreager’s pick: Stewarts Creek 28, Summit 27
Riverdale at Hendersonville
This has become a nice rivalry over the past few seasons against the two Wing-T programs.
Hendersonville upset the Warriors a year ago at Tomahawk Stadium. There won’t be another upset this season in Hendersonville.
Kreager’s pick: Hendersonville 35, Riverdale 27
Rest of the picks: Smyrna 42, Sycamore 7; La Vergne 48, Whites Creek 12; MTCS 28, Whitwell 6; Eagleville 31, Grace Baptist 14; Watertown 35, Cannon Co. 7
Last week: 4-3. Season: 31-8 (79 percent).
Tom Kreager is prep editor of The Daily News Journal. Contact him at email@example.com or 615-278-5168. Follow him on Twitter @Kreager.